Buffalo Bills win 2024 total odds

The Buffalo Bills have won the AFC East for four straight seasons and have made the playoffs for five straight years. Unfortunately for them, things didn’t go well in the playoffs and they have yet to reach the Super Bowl.

They’ve gone through a number of changes this offseason, making them an interesting team to pay attention to heading into 2024. Major roster subtractions include Stefon Diggs, Gabriel Davis, Jordan PoyerAnd Micah Hyde.

They needed to make some additions to their receiving group after losing arguably their best two. They wrote Keon Coleman early in the second round and signed Curtis Samuel, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Chase Claypool and Mack Hollins. These receivers don’t really inspire a lot of confidence, but Josh Allen is capable of elevating some of the talent around him.

So how will the Bills fare this season? You can see their win totals and all NFL win totals on FanDuel Sportsbook.

All NFL Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published.

Buffalo Bills 2024 win total odds

Buffalo Bills Over/Under 10.5 wins

Odds of making the playoffs: -164
Odds of winning the AFC East: +160
Odds of winning the AFC: +700
Super Bowl odds: +1300 (tied for third)

Key training changes during the offseason:

• New defensive coordinator Bobby Babich
• Joe Brady first offseason as offensive coordinator (hired in Week 11 in 2023)

Why the Bills could win more than 10.5 games

• Full season with Joe Brady at OC
• The new receiver freeze with Josh Allen
• Defense remains solid

After a disappointing loss in Week 10, the Bills installed Joe Brady as offensive coordinator after the team fizzled under Ken Dorsey. They had just fallen to a 5-5 record and their playoff hopes looked bleak.

This change made a difference, as the team won six of its remaining seven games, including the last five. They have scored at least 20 points in every game and more than 30 four times.

They switched to a more run-based approach, which led to a poor end to the season for the receivers. This could be a reason why Diggs and Davis are no longer on the team.

The new weapons the Bills acquired will need to make some plays in the absence of these guys. Keon Coleman is an exciting recruit, Curtis Samuel is a gadget type receiver. If they can somehow listen to the other receivers they acquired, their passing game could be a strength.

The defense may have lost some players from the seventh-ranked unit according to NumberFire stats, but some of the losses are a bit of a stretch. Tre’Davious White missed most of last season after tearing his Achilles tendon in Week 4. They added Mike Edwards at safety, to compensate for the loss of Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer. Other players like Shaq Lawson, Linval Joseph And Josh Normand Did not play an important role in the team and can be easily replaced.

The plan put in place by Sean McDermott has been effective enough to keep the defense an above-average unit, and he should be able to keep it afloat this season.

Why the Bills could win games by less than 10.5

• Departures too difficult to overcome
• Difficult schedule
• Receiving options don’t seem elitist

While there is an argument that the departures are somewhat exaggerated, losing that many players in a single offseason could be difficult. Their offensive line proved to be a strength last season, but now they’ve lost the starting center. Mitch Morse. Morse had the second-best pass-blocking grade on the offensive line last season, according to PFF.

Losses on the defensive line could prove the most costly. The Bills were fourth in the NFL in sacks and sixth in pressure rate in 2023, but blitzed just 23.5% of the time. They wanted to generate pressure from their front four, but now without Lawson, Joseph, Leonard Floyd And Poona Ford, they are a little thinner at this position.

The AFC East is expected to be one of the toughest divisions in football this season. The Miami Dolphins took the Bills to the final game of the regular season for the division title before injuries caught up with them. The New York Jets should be much better if Aaron Rodgers stays healthy, and the New England Patriots should have a better offense this season.

Overall, the Bills’ opponents have an average win total of 8.79. This is the fifth highest total in the league. Winning a division always makes your schedule tougher, and the Bills will have to face the likes of the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens and San Francisco 49ers.

While there may be some hope for the Bills’ new receivers, there has to be some level of concern. Josh Allen’s game really took a next step when Diggs joined the team in 2020. Without him, there is no clear number one option in the target pecking order.

None of the players drafted have the talent of Diggs, who was good in almost every area of ​​the field. Most players drafted are specialists in one aspect of receiving, but can’t match Diggs’ overall utility.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling will likely play a similar role to Gabe Davis, but Davis has been much more productive. Keon Coleman didn’t have an impeccable prospect profile either – especially after running a 4.61 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine.

Allen has to adjust to several new targets, which could take time and hamper the Bills’ passing game. With their tough schedule, this could cause problems in the win column.

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