Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 06/13/24

The Orioles have won six games in a row

The Baltimore Orioles are 45-22 this season and have won six games in a row. Baltimore won the first two games of this series by scores of 4-0 and 4-2. Prior to this series, the Orioles had swept the Rays in four games, split four games with the Blue Jays and won two of three against the Rays. Baltimore is 16-4 in their last 20 games, but they continue to trail the Yankees in the AL East.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 3.08 ERA, a WHIP of 1.12 and an opponent’s batting average of 0.216. The Orioles offense scored 344 runs with a .249 batting average and a .310 on-base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is hitting .273 with 21 homers and 47 RBIs for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has allowed two points or fewer in five straight games.

Starting pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Reynaldo Lopez, who is 3-2 with a 1.85 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over 63.1 innings pitched this year. Lopez has allowed two or fewer earned runs in five straight starts and has gone at least six innings in three of those outings. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cole Irvin, who is 6-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this season. Irvin has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts and has allowed a total of four earned runs in his last three outings.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

The Orioles have won each of their last 10 home games against NL East opponents following a victory. The Braves have lost each of their last six road games against AL East opponents following a loss. The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games after playing out the day before. The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games. The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against American League opponents. The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road games.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

The Braves have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a loss. The Orioles have lost five of their last six games against NL East opponents who held a winning record. The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games following a home win. The road team has covered the run line in nine of the Orioles’ last 11 games.

Race Total Facts

Eight of the last nine games between the Braves and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone BELOW the total point line. Each of the Braves’ last four games as an underdog have gone BELOW the point total line. The market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents. The “Inning 1 under 0.5 runs” market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five games as an underdog.

Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Baltimore comes into this game looking for the series sweep and will face a Braves team that is really struggling right now. Atlanta is 16-18 on the road and they are in the middle of a five-game losing streak. Baltimore is 23-12 at home this year and they have played excellent baseball all season. Both of these starting pitchers have been very good this season and this should be a fantastic game. We’ve seen two lower scoring games so far in this series and I think the runs will once again be favored here. My Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction is that this game will go under.