Houston area faces another serious threat tonight

This afternoon’s forecast:

There is a low threat of severe weather primarily west of I-45 this evening. The timing for Southeast Texas will be primarily after sunset. Storms will move from NW to SE. The main threat is damaging winds exceeding 60 mph, but hail is also possible in the strongest storms. The risk of street flooding is low, but allow extra travel time just in case. Our storms should all be over before midnight.

Tonight’s forecast:

Once storms clear the area, we will have a partly cloudy night with overnight lows in the mid 70s. A few lingering showers are possible.

Wednesday forecast:

Wednesday will be another summer day. We will start to see showers and storms along the coast which will spread inland throughout the day. Temperatures will be warm in the 90s, but will be ten degrees warmer with the humidity.

In search of the tropics:

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a possible development of an unorganized system in South Florida. This system has a 10% chance of forming in the next 2 days and a 20% chance over the next week as it moves toward the western Atlantic basin.

Regardless of whether this system forms, it will bring huge amounts of precipitation to South Florida through the end of the week. Parts of the peninsula could see more than ten inches.

There is deep tropical moisture in the Caribbean Sea that will move toward Florida tomorrow through Friday. Although this is not expected to become a named storm, it is expected to flood parts of the state. Forecasts become tricky on Saturday. The latest data offers a wide range of options for what this Gulf low will look like this weekend. The US model predicts that a tropical storm could form and affect Louisiana, Alabama and Mississippi on Sunday and Monday. The European model retains a large area of ​​disorganized rain. Euro is experiencing heavy rain moving into southeast Texas Sunday evening and possibly lasting through Tuesday. Rainfall totals in this scenario could reach 6″. It’s a good reminder that you don’t need a named storm for it to flood. Another good reminder is that when there are so many discrepancies in weather models, accuracy is low. This is why we tell you that we are always monitoring. This result is far from being determined.

Next week’s model:

Depending on what happens with this tropical humidity, rain could persist for most of next week. We have forecasted chances of rain starting Sunday afternoon and continuing through Wednesday next week.

10-day forecast:

Starting Thursday, we’ll dry off and warm up for Father’s Day weekend! Temperatures will be in the mid 90s Saturday and Sunday.