NFL analytics expert predicts Buffalo Bills 2024 win totals

An NFL analytics expert just revealed his projected win total for the Buffalo Bills heading into the 2024 season. NFL Network’s Cynthia Frelund says the Bills will have a 10-game win total, the sixth-best total in the AFC . The Bills have the second-best win total in the AFC East. The Miami Dolphins have the best in the division, with a rating of 10.2.

“Over the past three seasons, the Bills have ranked in the bottom third in total May win variance. It’s not terribly surprising that Buffalo — a team with an elite QB but a team that has had significant turnover on both sides of the ball (Steve Diggs, Jordan Poyer, Tre’Davious White, Micah Hydeet al) – could, with equally realistic probability, win the division or finish third,” Frelund wrote.

“The Bills continue their Monday night Week 3 matchup against the Jaguars with a tough three-game road trip (Ravens, Texans, Jets) that has reduced their win probability by nearly 0.3 games compared to before my models only take into account their 2024 calendar – and that’s not even their hardest stretch! Their most difficult stretch occurs between weeks 11 and 15: Chiefs, bye, 49ers, at Rams, at Lions.

Last year, the Bills finished the regular season with an 11-6 record and won the AFC East for the fourth straight year. However, it was another disappointing playoff run, losing to the Kansas City Chiefs in the divisional round. This is the third straight season the Bills have lost in the second round of the playoffs.

Buffalo Bills looking to replace Stefon Diggs with Keon Coleman

This offseason, the Bills lost star wide receiver Stefon Diggs as he was traded to the Houston Texans. The move led to the Bills signing the former Florida State wide receiver. Keon Coleman in the second round of this year’s draft.

“I think his style of play (is) what we needed in our offense,” Bills QB Josh Allen » Mike Garafolo and Tom Pelissero told NFL Network Insiders last month. “I spoke with our offensive coordinator (Joe Brady), our quarterbacks coach (Ronald Curry), (general manager) Brandon Beane and obviously coach (Sean) McDermott, a guy who is a big guy and who can win a game. -shoulder fades and I’m not afraid to be a physical wide receiver.

“I think you pair him with some of the guys we have in our room right now, I think Mack Hollins has been such a great addition so far to this room with his mentality, his mindset is contagious to others. Curtis Samuel, he shows up every day, ready to work. …You start to associate these guys with Dawson) and Coleman in this mix now we’re going to have a pretty solid group working together.