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Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Odds, Picks and Predictions

THE Boston Red Sox (19-16) open a set of 2 matches against the Atlanta Braves (20-12) Tuesday. First pitch at Truist Park is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the FanDuel Sportsbook lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st session. Boston has won 3 of 4 meetings in 2023

The Red Sox avoided a sweep this weekend in Minnesota, cashing in as MoneyLine’s underdog (+166) with a 9-2 victory Sunday against the Twins. The triumph ended Minnesota’s 12-game winning streak as 3B. Rafael Devers and CF Ceddanne Rafaela circuit during RP Brennan Bernadino won.

Atlanta returns home after losing 5 of 6 on its West Coast trip, including a weekend sweep at the hands of the Dodgers. The Braves have scored more than 5 runs just once in the last 14 days and manager Brian Snitker says his team is in an “offensive rut.”

Red Sox to Braves projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford against RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Crawford (2-1, 1.56 ERA) is making his 8th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.90 BB/9 and 8.93 K/9 in 40.1 IP.

  • Last Start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in the 6-2 win over San Francisco last Wednesday
  • Boasts the lowest HR/FB percentage (2.0%) among 80 qualified pitchers, as the 28-year-old served an HR for the first time this season in his last start.

Lopez (0-0, 1.50 ERA) is making his 6th start. He has a WHIP of 1.00, a BB/9 of 3.00 and a K/9 of 9.30 in 30 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 7 K last Tuesday in Seattle
  • Career vs. Boston: 2-1, 4.03 ERA in 22.1 IP (6 games, 3 games started)
  • The 30-year-old has a lower barrel percentage (5.4%) than Crawford (6.3%) this season.

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The Red Sox alongside the Braves

Powered by FanDuel Sportsbook; Go to the USA TODAY Sports Sports Betting Scores & Odds hub for a complete list. Lines last updated at 11:29 a.m. ET.

  • Money Line (ML): Red Sox +154 (bet $100 to win $154) | Braves -184 (bet $184 to win $100)
  • Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-134) | Braves -1.5 (+112)
  • More/Less (Y/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

Red Sox at Braves Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Boston 4, Atlanta 3

Money line

RETURN SOX REDS (+154).

That’s a good price for an offense after a 9-run performance against a surging Twins team with a SP in Crawford who allows the 2nd lowest hard contact percentage (18.9%) among qualified pitchers. RF Tyler O’Neill has hit doubles in 3 of his last 4 games and Devers sports the 10th highest hard contact percentage (42.9%) among MLB hitters with 60 PA vs. RHP. Boston has a good chance of being able to outperform a “hitting team” that hasn’t been hitting much lately, as Snitker pointed out.

racing line

PASS.

I’d rather take my chances with positive money than leave the juice. If Atlanta recovers late in the inning against Boston’s bullpen, there’s always a chance the Braves’ bats can circle the water like sharks and get out of their slump.

More less

BET UNDER 8.5 (-102).

Braves 1B Matt Olson hasn’t scored in a month, 3B Austin Riley only hit 1 HR since April 8 and reigning NL CF MVP Ronald Acuna Jr. played in all 32 games, but only recorded 2 HR and 8 RBI. Atlanta will break out eventually, but don’t expect it against Crawford.

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