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The probability of storms increases daily, the best chances are at the end of the week

Theo

MYRTLE BEACH, SC (WMBF) – Our typical South Carolina summer weather pattern continues this week with high humidity and daily showers and storms. We welcome this pattern with open arms, especially given the ongoing drought.

TODAY

Many of you have already been affected by rain showers and thunderstorms this morning. We will use these isolated thunderstorms for the morning commute before finally taking a short break in the morning.

There is still a chance of passing showers or thunderstorms during the morning rush hour.
There is still a chance of passing showers or thunderstorms during the morning rush hour.(WMBF)

Clouds will dominate the sky this morning before a few rays of sunshine appear here and there. As a result, temperatures will remain around 30 degrees on the beaches today and around 30 to 40 degrees inland.

More clouds with lots of moisture today. The chance of storms remains at 40%.
More clouds with lots of moisture today. The chance of storms remains at 40%.(WMBF)

By the afternoon, the chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms will be back. Even that won’t be enough to cancel plans. However, there will be a few places that will get a nice downpour or two.

Isolated thunderstorms will persist into the middle of the day and into the afternoon.
Isolated thunderstorms will persist into the middle of the day and into the afternoon.(WMBF)

The latest data this morning indicates that more storms will build up along I-95 through the evening. We’ll be watching how that develops this afternoon.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue into the evening.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue into the evening.(WMBF)

THIS WEEK

A high pressure system to the east will continue to pump in southerly winds, bringing tropical moisture to the Carolinas throughout the week. Combined with a stagnant front to the northwest, this will ensure showers and storms every day.

There will continue to be rain showers and thunderstorms every day, with the best chances being on Thursday and Friday.
There will continue to be rain showers and thunderstorms every day, with the best chances being on Thursday and Friday.(WMBF)

The best chances are along the sea breezes each afternoon or other edges left over from previous storms. Each day the storm chances look different. The latest data suggests storms are possible anytime this week, with the best chances looking a little more likely on Thursday and Friday.

Higher moisture levels will move into the Carolinas on Thursday and Friday, bringing...
Thursday and Friday will see higher humidity levels in the Carolinas, giving the highest chance of rain.(WMBF)

Our humidity levels will peak on Thursday and Friday, giving us a 60% chance of storms on both days. While no day will see all-day rain, the end of the week is the most likely time for most locations to see it all blow over.

The greatest probability of storms is around Thursday and Friday, as the humidity is higher.
The greatest probability of storms is around Thursday and Friday, as the humidity is higher.(WMBF)

THIS WEEKEND

New data this morning continues to point to some thunderstorms during the first half of the weekend before a short break. Saturday looks wet, with the daily chance of storms still at 40%. If we’re lucky, enough rain has fallen this week to end the ongoing drought.

There is a chance of drier weather towards the end of the weekend and over the next few days.
There is a chance that it will be a little drier towards the end of the weekend and the beginning of next week.(WMBF)

Regardless, we will expect slightly lower rain chances starting Sunday and into early next week. While it’s nice to have some dry time, we also know that many areas could use some additional rainy days.

The latest data from this morning is extensive. 3-5 inches of rain is possible through Sunday IF we are lucky enough to notice the showers and storms. Remember, this is over a seven day period. There will be places where less rain is expected.

Expect heavy rainfall! Some models indicate 3-5" Rain. Obviously...
Expect heavy rainfall! Some models are predicting 3-5 inches of rain this morning. Of course, that’s not a prediction, but it’s a good sign that we’ll see more much-needed rain this week.(WMBF)

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