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Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun Prediction and Betting Tips for July 7, 2024

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The Atlanta Dream (7-12, 7-11 ATS) will be on the road against the Connecticut Sun (16-4, 9-11 ATS) in an Eastern Conference matchup inside Mohegan Sun Arena on Sunday afternoon. The Dream are fifth in the East while the Sun are second. This will be their third game of four against each other, so it will be interesting to see how they fare in this matchup and which team can take the 2-1 series lead.

The dream needs to understand things

The Atlanta Dream have been playing at a subpar level this year and need to bounce back to end this current losing streak. They are coming off an 85-82 road loss to the Dallas Wings last time out and a veteran guard Allisha Gray She dominated with 19 points, seven rebounds and eight assists in the game.

The Dreams are having a hard time figuring out how to score points, as Atlanta currently sits last in the WNBA with 76.3 points per game this season. Defense has been their strong suit so far, as the Dream sits fifth with 81.0 points per game allowed. The Atlanta Dream need to wake up if they want to be considered a playoff contender this season.

Black hole of the Sun

The Connecticut Sun have done an incredible job so far in the WNBA season and appear to be a well-oiled machine. They are coming off a thrilling 78-73 road win over the Minnesota Lynx in their last game and it certainly helps when the veteran forward DeWanna Bonner as she finished with 24 points, nine rebounds and a steal.

This team needs to focus more on the offensive end of the court as they are eighth in the WNBA with 79.9 points allowed per game and shooting 44.0 percent from the field. On the defensive end, Connecticut is the best in the sport with 73.1 points allowed per game. The Sun have one of the most talented rosters in the sport and should continue to perform well as the season progresses.

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Rating:

There is a clear difference in skill level between the Atlanta Dream and the Connecticut Sun this season and that should shine through here. Connecticut comes into this game on a winning streak while Atlanta is on a losing streak, so these teams are moving in different directions as they look to pick up a win in this matchup. Looking at the net ratings that these two teams have produced so far this season, there is a huge gap as Atlanta is ninth in women’s basketball with a net rating of -5.8 while Connecticut is third in the WNBA with a net rating of 8.6, which is significantly larger than the gap. Atlanta is dealing with a lot of injuries in its backcourt as Aerial Powers, Jordin Canada, and Rhyne Howard will all miss this game for the Dream, making a weak team even weaker as they enter one of the toughest arenas in the entire WNBA to win an away game. Opt for the Connecticut Sun to cover the wide home spread as the best option here.

Prediction: Connecticut Sun -11

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Rating:

This is the third meeting between these two teams and no game has seen more than 152 combined points, so these teams should be able to keep the total down. These teams have seen the under hit in their games more consistently, as Atlanta has had the under in nine of their 18 games played so far this year, while Connecticut has had the under hit in nine of their first 20 games this WNBA season. One thing both of these teams have done a great job of is limiting the number of second-chance baskets against them. The Dream are third in the sport with 9.5 second-chance points allowed per game while the Sun are just ahead of them in second place with 9.0 points allowed per game. Overall, go for a total of under 152 points in this matchup, as both teams have been absolutely miserable offensively and should have a hard time finding the back of the basket in this matchup.

Prediction: Under 152

Written by
Patty Reyes, “Patty Reyes”

Sports has been my passion since I played as one of the first girls in the Premier League. When I was in college, I wrote about local sporting events and after leaving school, I worked at colleges and universities as an assistant sports director and sports director. After branching out on my own as a freelance sports writer, I took a job as an online writer for sports betting sites and have been doing so for the past 10 years. Basketball is my passion, including NCAA and NBA as well as European basketball, but I make picks on all sports. Moneyline, point spread or over/under, I can find an angle for everyone in any sporting event on the planet.

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