Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 07/01/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday July 1, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

It is at the Rogers Center that the Toronto Blue Jays (38-44) will face the Houston Astros (41-41) on Monday. The starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Yariel Rodriguez.

Houston is hitting .422 and has been called out 551 times, while walking 223 times. They have recorded 353 runs and 732 hits on the campaign, and their plate average is .264. The Astros have racked up 135 doubles as a unit and have hit 95 baseballs out of the park. They have 369 runs scored and a .322 OBP. As a unit, the Houston Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks 13th in the league.

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Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.35 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31. Astros pitchers have allowed 93 home runs and 344 runs (12th in MLB). Houston has allowed 641 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 324 earned runs. The Astros have a team ERA of 4.07 on the season (18th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 692 batters. They have allowed 295 walks and their FIP is 4.30 as a team on the season.

Astros pitchers have started the contest with runners on base 43 times and have also made 70 appearances in high-leverage situations. The bullpen has racked up 43 holds for the season (15th in baseball). Astros relief pitchers have a 57.1% save percentage and have been on the mound in 71 save situations. They have 16 saves for the season and have blown 12 of 28 save opportunities. Relievers have been on base 64 for the season and 26.6% of them have crossed the plate. The Astros have sent 254 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Astros have turned 70.6 percent of balls in play into outs over 6,456 innings on the field, which ranks 10th in the major leagues. The Houston Astros have recorded a total of 2,152 outs so far, in addition to 693 assists and 36 errors. Their infield success rate is .988, which ranks 4th in the major leagues, and they have hit 64 double plays.

Brown has pitched 256 innings and has 289 strikeouts in his professional baseball career. Brown (18-18 career win-loss record) has a 4.47 FIP while facing 1,089 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.53 (129 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.343. He has allowed 250 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 94 walks.

The Blue Jays have a .374 slugging percentage and are scoring 4.01 runs per outing (25th in MLB). They have 131 doubles, 273 free bases and 325 runs driven in. Toronto has 74 home runs on the year and 307 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes 583 times (28th in MLB) and have totaled 628 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have a .312 on-base percentage and a .235 team batting average this year.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 4.49 as a pitching staff this season. They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.10 (638 strikeouts to 230 walks). They rank 21st in the MLB in total hits allowed with 687. They have allowed 111 home runs and are allowing 4.75 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the MLB). Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 375 runs on the campaign while having a 4.30 ERA (339 earned runs allowed).

Toronto’s bullpen pitchers have an inherited scoring rate of 30.2% on 116 inherited baserunners. Their bullpen pitchers went up the hill 56 times in high-leverage situations and also 80 times with runners on base. Sitting with 78 save situations, the Blue Jays earned 48 catches in addition to 10 blown saves. They rank 14th in baseball with a 64.3% save rate and have sent 273 pitchers from the bullpen to the mound during the campaign. Toronto asked bullpen pitchers to compete in 28 save opportunities and they recorded 18 saves.

In their 6,396 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 64 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have 703 assists, 48 ​​errors and have a total of 2,132 putouts so far this year.

Rodriguez (career 0-2) has a 6.11 ERA and has allowed 11.7 hits per nine innings. He has a 1.55 strikeout-to-walk ratio and has faced 81 batters in his career. He has given up 11 ER while posting a 1.975 WHIP and 6.0 FIP. Over the course of his professional baseball career, Rodriguez has allowed 21 hits while racking up 17 Ks in 16 frames.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Choice: Take Houston

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