Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees Odds, Picks and Predictions

THE Atlanta Braves (42-32) and New York Yankees (52-27) meet Sunday as they wrap up a 3-game interleague scrimmage in the Bronx. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze the BetMGM Sportsbook lines around the Braves vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season Series: Tied 1-1

Atlanta won Friday’s opener 8-1, then lost Saturday’s game 8-3. The Braves, 7-2 since June 13, were defeated by 5 extra hits and 8 walks in Saturday’s loss.

The Yankees ended a three-game losing streak with Saturday’s triumph. New York has allowed 32 points during its three-game streak.

Braves among projected Yankees starters

LHP Max Frit against LHP Nestor Cortes

Fried (6-3, 3.11 ERA) is expected to make his 15th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 84 IP.

• Last outing: No decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 2-1 win over the Detroit Tigers on Monday
• Career vs. Yankees: 2-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 12 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
• Had a rough April, but owns a 2.56 ERA over a tidy .538 OPS allowed since May 5.

Cortes (4-5, 3.36 ERA) is making his 17th start. He recorded a 1.10 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 93 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 4-2 win over the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday
• First time against the Braves
• Thrown a record 105 pitches in Tuesday’s round against Baltimore
• Has a 2.39 ERA, 0.89 WHIP at Yankee Stadium since 2022

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Brave against the Yankees

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Go to the USA TODAY Sports Sports Betting Scores & Odds hub for a complete list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Yankees -105 (bet $100 to win $105)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+140) | Yankees +1.5 (-165)
• More/Less (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Braves at Yankees Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Yankees 4

Money line

New York has failed in 3 consecutive playoff finals.

The mound matchup between the ports is quality, but represents an advantage on what will be another hot day in the Bronx. Fried is more adept at recovering ground balls, while Cortes produces a lot of aerial action.

Cortes throwing 105 shots in his last game isn’t ideal; he didn’t fare very well on previous subsequent takedowns after higher counts. It is supported by the lesser of the two enclosures. Fried is an excellent road pitcher and is more likely to take the game to the 7th inning or beyond.

The marker here should slow down our progress a little, however. FanDuel Sportsbook offers the BRAVE (-112). At that price, Atlanta is worth a partial unit game.

Running Line/Against the Spread

It’s worth keeping an eye on if things start to lean more towards the nine at home. Atlanta minus a cushion at +150 for a return would be enticing. PASS Otherwise.

More less

The Yankees pitchers have had a rough time this week, and the Over is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 games. Even with the solid pitching matchup in this late series, the Over is thin. But with the line change from 8.5 to 9 it is better to PASS.

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