Atlanta Falcons win 2024 total odds

Atlanta Falcons fans have endured their share of pain over the years. In the seasons since its 28-3 Super Bowl loss in 2016, Atlanta has made just one postseason appearance. They haven’t won more than seven games in a single season since 2017.

Fortunately, the Falcons are starting fresh in 2024. The team parted ways with head coach Arthur Smith, hiring Raheem Morris to become their new leader. After two years of unsuccessful attempts to find a successor to longtime quarterback Matt Ryan, they added two new quarterbacks to the roster in Kirk Cousins ​​and a first-round pick. Michael Penix Jr.

Could this be the start of a new era for the Falcons? Or will 2024 end up being a fresh coat of paint on a seemingly cursed franchise?

Let’s take a look at FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL win totals and see what the market thinks of Atlanta’s chances in 2024.

All NFL Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published.

2024 Atlanta Falcons Win Total Odds

Atlanta Falcons Over/Under 9.5 wins

Odds of making the playoffs: -245
Odds of winning the NFC South: -115 (1st)
Odds of winning the NFC Championship: +1100 (6th)
Super Bowl odds: +2400 (T11th-best

Key training changes during the offseason:

• Arthur Smith out as head coach
• Raheem Morris as head coach
• Zac Robinson as offensive coordinator

Why Atlanta Could Win More Than 9.5 Games

• The offensive could take off
• The NFC South is relatively soft
• Easiest schedule in the league

Despite investing three consecutive top-10 picks in offensive position players in the 2021-2023 drafts, the Falcons’ offense has failed to live up to expectations under head coach Arthur Smith. The additions of Kyle Pitts, Drake London and Bijan Robinson revived hopes for an offensive explosion with each new year, but the team never finished better than 15th in total points or 17th in total yards during the Smith’s mandate.

For 2024, Atlanta replaces Smith and the disappointing quarterbacks of previous seasons. New head coach Raheem Morris brought with him former Los Angeles Rams passing coordinator and quarterbacks coach Zac Robinson to be the team’s new offensive coordinator while the front office signed a major deal with top free agent quarterback Kirk Cousins ​​and drafted his eventual successor in Michael Penix Jr.

Assuming Cousins ​​– who suffered a season-ending Achilles injury last year — is ready to compete in the regular season, we could see a major offensive breakthrough in Atlanta this year.

Cousins ​​averaged 267.9 passing yards per game in the nine seasons he played as a team’s Week 1 starter, posting a 5.3% touchdown rate and a interception rate of only 1.9%. The 99.9 passer rating he averaged in this division would have ranked seventh among NFL passers last year, while the 103.8 rating he recorded last year ranked actually ranked third.

We could finally see the Falcons’ weapons unleashed.

What could help Atlanta even more this fall is the relatively soft NFC South, which plays a role in what should be a fairly straightforward 2024 schedule. In fact, when looking at 2024 win totals, the Falcons have the easiest schedule in the league. Sharp Football Analysis’s schedule strength metrics agree, ranking Atlanta’s schedule as the easiest.

The lack of a real contender in the NFC South certainly contributes to this soft schedule. The Carolina Panthers were the worst team in the NFL in 2023 and don’t look much better this year. The cap-strapped New Orleans Saints will be forced to go back with Derek Carr at center on an aging team. And the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will count on Baker Mayfield to stay productive after losing offensive coordinator Dave Canales to the Panthers.

This makes Atlanta the current favorite in the division, at -115 odds to win the NFC South.

These six division games against some pretty competition could be the edge the Falcons need to overcome their lofty 9.5 win line for the 2024 season. While other plucky teams face brutal divisions like the AFC East or the AFC North, the Falcons’ division is doing them a big favor. Add in games with the Los Angeles Chargers, Las Vegas Raiders and Washington Commanders, and it’s not hard to imagine Atlanta taking over that 9.5 win line.

Why Atlanta Could Win Games Under 9.5

• They thought too much about their offseason
• Quarterbacks don’t work
• Arthur Smith held them back less than we thought

While the Falcons front office checked some important boxes this offseason, it’s fair to speculate as to whether they made the right decisions in doing so. At the top, we can be excited to see Raheem Morris lead an NFL team again, especially after the work he did last year to help the Rams’ D have a surprisingly strong campaign.

That said, the Falcons also had the opportunity to hire Bill Belichick, the record holder for most Super Bowl wins as head coach. Passing up a chance to hire arguably the greatest coach in NFL history could come back to bite them.

After that, the deal Atlanta signed with Cousins ​​includes the second-most guaranteed money we’ve ever seen on an NFL contract. We might not bat an eyelid to see this kind of contract go to one of the league’s most promising young quarterbacks, but it deserves at least a raised eyebrow when it goes to a 35-year-old coming out of an end-of-season Achilles. injury and whose teams have only advanced past the Wild Card Round once in his nine seasons as a legitimate starter.

If going all-in on a veteran who has earned a playoff berth in just three of his nine seasons wasn’t already a bold move, the Falcons front office immediately took another significant step to alienate their new Quarterback: They drafted Penix Jr. with the eighth overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft.

Cousins ​​might not be fully healthy until the end of the offseason, which will give Penix some runway to play with the starters in OTAs and early training camps. If Penix plays well enough, we’ll no doubt hear rumors that he could usurp Cousins ​​for the starting job sooner rather than later. This kind of friction could become a legitimate problem as the season goes on, especially if the Falcons don’t get off to a good start.

We haven’t even discussed the possibility that their quarterback moves won’t go as planned.

Cousins ​​is a veteran coming off a serious injury. Are we sure he can perform up to his usual standards in 2024? And if we don’t get the best Cousins ​​this year, is Penix capable of leading this team to the playoffs? The former Washington Huskies was widely considered a fringe first-round talent during the pre-draft process, and his selection at No. 8 was by far the biggest surprise of the first night of the draft. It’s fair to wonder how much success Penix will have in the NFL.

Finally, what if Arthur Smith isn’t as much of a problem as we widely thought over the past three years? His personnel decisions – starting Marcus Mariota, sticking with Desmond Ridder, prioritizing Jonnu Smith over Kyle Pitts, doing split touches at Robinson with Tyler Allgeier, etc. – were certainly frustrating at times, but his run-heavy game plans helped alleviate the issues. Falcons defenses frequently created. The team’s defense seemed to make a promising turnaround last year, but will it fare as well in its first year under Raheem Morris’ new defensive scheme?

That’s frankly a lot of question marks for a team that should be fighting for double-digit wins.

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