Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Prediction, 05/12/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets

Date: Sunday May 12, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, New York

TV: Bally Sports South

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (18-18) will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (22-12) on Sunday. The men taking the mound are Bryce Elder and Luis Severino.

The Braves racked up 73 double-baggers as a team and hit 36 ​​baseballs out of the stadium. Atlanta has a .418 average and has been called down 296 times, while being walked 107 times. As a team, the Atlanta Braves put up 5.1 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in baseball. They have recorded 165 runs as well as 301 hits so far this year, while their plate average sits at .257. They have a total of 172 runs while holding a team OBP of .326.

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The Braves own a team ERA of 3.57 for the year (10th in baseball) and the staff has signed 289 batters. Braves pitchers allowed 35 home runs and 131 runs (2nd in baseball). They have walked 102 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.86 per unit so far this season. Atlanta allowed 272 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) along with 121 earned runs. Their strikeout/walk ratio is 2.83 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.23.

The Braves bullpen accumulated a 62.5% save rate and took the mound in 34 save situations. The relievers inherited 33 runners for the year and 33.3% of those runners ended up scoring. Braves relief pitchers got on the hill with runners on 29 occasions and also had 39 appearances in high-leverage situations. The Braves sent 108 relief pitchers to the hill during the campaign. The relievers totaled 18 catches over the season (21st in the league). They compiled 10 saves for the year and missed 6 of 16 opportunities to get a save.

The Atlanta Braves have collected 916 outs this year, in addition to 345 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently .991, which ranks first in professional baseball, and they have turned in 33 double plays. The Braves have converted 70.5 percent of balls in play into outs over 2,748 innings, which ranks 12th in professional baseball.

Elder took the ball for 244 innings and made 185 putouts in his career. His ERA is 3.76 (102 ER allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.299. He allowed 223 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 94 free passes. Elder (15-9 wins-loss in his career) owns a 4.40 FIP and he has faced 1,028 batters during his time in the major leagues.

New York has collected 38 home runs this season as well as 153 RBIs. They have 52 doubles, while earning a free base 119 times and accumulating 161 points. The New York Mets accounted for a .315 on-base percentage in addition to a .241 batting average for the year. The Mets hold a .376 slugging percentage and score 4.47 runs per outing (14th in baseball). They were called 272 times (28th in MLB) and totaled 298 hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.318 with a FIP of 3.67 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 9.30 (334 strikeouts to 161 walks). They rank 3rd in baseball as a pitching team in total hits allowed with 266. They have given up 23 home runs and allow 4.33 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). New York’s pitching staff gave up 156 runs for the year while having a 3.72 ERA (134 earned runs given up).

New York saw relief pitchers take the mound on 15 save opportunities and they came away with 10 saves. They rank 14th in MLB with a 66.7% save rate and have sent 124 relievers to the mound so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers went up the hill 56 times in high-leverage situations and 37 times with runners on. New York’s bullpen pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 27.7% out of 47 inherited base runners. With 42 save situations, the Mets have 27 catches and also 5 blown saves.

In 2,916 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in baseball). The New York Mets have turned 31 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in baseball). The Mets have accumulated 296 assists, 22 errors and 972 putouts for the season.

During his MLB career, Severino allowed 677 hits while getting 825 strikeouts in 767 innings pitched. He allowed 319 earned runs while posting a 1.185 WHIP and 3.7 FIP. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.56 and he has faced 3,191 opposing batters thus far in his MLB career. Severino (56-39 career wins-loss) had a 3.74 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s choice: take Atlanta

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