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New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction and Picks for June 23, 2024

WNBA action continues Sunday with a clash between the New York Liberty (13-3, 2nd East) and the Atlanta Dream (6-8, 3rd East). The Liberty just played the Sparks on Saturday afternoon, while the Dream just lost at home by 12 to the Fever. These teams met earlier this month, with the Liberty winning by 17 on the road. The alert is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. EST from the Gateway Center in College Park, Georgia.

Let’s move on to your favorite free WNBA picks for tonight’s game between New York and Atlanta.

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Liberty wins nine out of ten

The Liberty are one of the best teams in the WNBA and have won nine of their last ten games. Their only loss in the streak came against the Mercury on the road, in a game where Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner each scored 19 points for Phoenix. New York currently sits in second place in the East standings, and is also second in the entire league for the playoffs. In their last game, Sabrina Ionescu dropped 31 points with six threes in a win over the Sparks.

The Liberty play three games in four days, as they face the Sparks on Thursday and Saturday, before playing this game against Atlanta. Their leading scorer is Breanna Stewart, the 6’4 forward drops 19.1 PPG and catches 8.9 RPG. Stewart had 25 and 10 in the game against Atlanta earlier this season. Sabrina Ionescu is their outside shooter, she averages 18.6 PPG and leads the team with 6.3 APG. She makes 2.8 threes per game and hits 35.8% of her attempts. Jonquel Jones is a 6’6 forward with 17.7 PPG and 8.4 RPG.

New York ranks 2nd in the league with 87.0 PPG, and its defense ranks third by allowing just 78.0 PPG. They are the best outside shooting team in the league in terms of makes per game, as they make 10.2 threes per game, while making 34.8 percent of their shots.

Dreaming in a distant third

The Atlanta Dream are third in the Eastern Conference, but there is a significant gap between the second and third ranked teams. The Sun leads the conference, with the Liberty just a half-game back, but Atlanta is six games behind the Liberty. This places Atlanta 7th in the league, which is important for their playoff seeding. In their last game, Atlanta got 24 points and seven rebounds from Tina Charles in a loss to the Fever.

Charles is a 6’4 center who scores 13.4 PPG and leads the team with 8.9 RPG. She had a record points score in her final season against the Fever. They have two players who lead the team with exactly 15.4 PPG. First up is 6’0 guard Allisha Gray, who also adds 3.9 RPG and 2.1 APG. Gray is the team’s best shooter, hitting 2.1 threes per game on 39.7 percent shooting. The other top scorer is Rhyne Howard, but she will miss this game with a knee injury, which is a big loss for Atlanta, as she also leads the team in assists and steals. They’ll need to get more points from Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, the 6’4 forward averaging 9.5 PPG, and will need to step up their efforts in Howard’s absence.

The Dream ranks dead last in the league in scoring, averaging just 75.9 PPG. Their defense is better, ranking 5th with 79.9 PPG. These numbers are also reflected in the slowness of their offensive game. Atlanta is 8th in the league in made shots per game, and also ranks 8th in three-point percentage making 31.8% of its attempts.

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Best bets for New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream

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The Liberty may be scoring fewer points than they should here, considering it’s their second straight game, which adds some value for New York. Blowing out teams on their second night is a popular play, but New York has too much talent upside and Atlanta is dealing with significant injuries. Atlanta scores the fewest points in the WNBA, and they will be without their leading scorer, Howard, for this game because she is out with a knee injury. Howard is also their best perimeter defender, which will be a problem as they need to find Ionescu on the outside, without losing track of Stewart on the rest of the court. New York has three scorers averaging 17.0 PPG or higher, Atlanta will have no answer and will be eliminated from the field.

Take the Liberty to cover yourself.

Prediction: Freedom to cover

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Atlanta plays at a slow pace and relies on its defense to help it come away with wins. The Dream don’t shoot many threes, as they are only 8th in the 12-team league in threes made per game. They’re also without Howard in this game, and she’s making 2.0 three-pointers per game, taking even more points off the board. Atlanta is 12th in scoring, and the loss of Howard will cause them to slow down the game even more. There will be signs of fatigue on New York’s part as they play three games in four nights, and they could tinker with their lineups to give their stars a break if they have a comfortable lead. A tired team faces a slow paced team without their top scorer, this one will be a low scoring game.

Take the bottom.

Prediction: under

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Paul Biagioli, “Paul Biagioli”

Paul has been a sports fan his entire life and was an All-Conference basketball player at the University of Scranton. He is currently a high school basketball coach and mathematics teacher with a master’s degree in business administration. This unique combination gives Paul the ability to find mismatches from a coach’s perspective while also having the ability to analyze statistical data to spot advantages. Paul will provide you with a range of statistics, trends and analysis to prepare you for any confrontation. Follow Paul for up-to-date analysis and all your betting needs. We are delighted to have Paul on our team.