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Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees Details

  • Date: June 23, 2024
  • Place: Yankee Stadium
  • Starting pitchers:

    • Hurston Waldrep – Braves
    • Nestor Cortes – Yankees

Betting Odds

Money line: Braves -110, Yankees -110
Execution line: Braves -1.5 150, Yankees 1.5 -175
Over/Under total: 8.5 -120

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees Win Odds

Implied win %: Projected win%:
Atlanta Braves – 50% Atlanta Braves – 53.06%
New York Yankees – 50% New York Yankees – 46.94%

The implied winning percentage in sports betting represents the probability of an outcome suggested by the betting odds. It is a way for bettors to assess the likelihood of an event happening based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Winning Percentage, also known as Projected Win Probability, is an estimate made by ATS.io to determine the likelihood of a team winning a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics and historical data.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are scheduled to host the Atlanta Braves on June 23, 2024, in what promises to be an intriguing interleague matchup at Yankee Stadium. Both teams are having good seasons, with the Yankees going 51-27 and the Braves going 42-31. Although the market suggests this will be a close game, with both teams having an implied win probability of 50%, THE BAT 53%.

On the mound, the Yankees will start Nestor Cortes, a left-handed pitcher ranked as the 37th best starting pitcher in MLB. Cortes has been solid all season and will look to stifle the Braves’ offense, which ranks 12th in MLB in team batting average and home runs. Conversely, the Braves will counter with right-hander Hurston Waldrep, aiming to tackle a Yankees lineup that ranks 2nd in team home runs and 9th in team batting average.

Offensively, the Yankees will rely on the recent form of Aaron Judge, who was their best hitter last week. Judge has posted impressive numbers, including a .313 batting average and 1.076 OPS, along with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs over his last five games. On the other side, Austin Riley has been red hot for the Braves, with a .500 batting average and 1.775 OPS over the past week, with 3 home runs and 6 RBIs in six games.

Despite New York’s offensive firepower, their stolen base performance has been poor, ranking 26th, while the Braves fare even worse, ranking 29th. This game could come down to power hitting, where the Yankees hold an advantage, but the Braves have shown consistency and depth, evidenced by their competitive record and recent performances.

With a total of 8.5 points, this matchup at Yankee Stadium is full of potential offensive fireworks, making it a must-see for fans and bettors alike. Given Atlanta’s slightly favorable projections, they could offer some value in what should be a hotly contested game.

Atlanta Braves Quick Take:

Quick takes on the New York Yankees:

It might be wise to expect worse numbers for the New York Yankees offense in the future, given that the main projection system (THE BAT luckiest of the majors this year.

  • When teams outperform relative to their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even though they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Gaming Trends

  • The New York Yankees have reached the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+17.65 units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have reached the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+15.30 units / 26% ROI)

Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Prediction

Final score: Atlanta Braves 5.05 vs. New York Yankees 4.43

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