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Atlanta Dream vs Dallas Wings Prediction and Prediction for July 5, 2024

The Atlanta Dream (7-11, 5-10 ATS) will be on the road against the Dallas Wings (4-16, 8-10 ATS) in a non-conference game at the College Park Center on Friday night. The Dream are third in the East while the Wings are last in the West. This will be the second of three games against each other, since they played on May 21, where the Dream earned an 83-78 home victory.

The dream must wake up

The Atlanta Dream are playing at a decent level this year and are still projected to make the playoffs despite sitting four games below .500 right now. They are coming off an 85-77 home loss to the Chicago Sky last time out and the center Tina Charles She played well as she scored 19 points and grabbed 14 rebounds in the game.

The Dreams have done a very poor job of scoring points, as Atlanta is currently last in the WNBA with 76.0 points per game this season. Defense has been their best asset, as the Dream is fifth with 80.8 points per game allowed. The Atlanta Dream have some solid players on their roster, but they need to figure out how to improve if they want to be considered a bigger threat moving forward.

Lynx are improving this season

The Dallas Wings have had an incredibly poor showing so far in the WNBA season and need to figure out how to get back on the winning track if they want to climb out of the leagues basement. They are coming off a 104-96 home loss to the Phoenix Mercury in their last game and that certainly helped keep the game close when the guards Arike Ogunbowale He did well with 26 points, six rebounds and five assists in the game.

This team needs to be able to continue to control the offensive end of the floor as they are sixth in the WNBA with 80.6 points per game allowed and shooting 43.8 percent from the field. Defensively, the Wings are last in the sport with 88.9 points per game allowed. Dallas needs to figure out how to defend better and use that focus to win more games before it’s too late.

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Rating:


These teams have been similar, but there is a bit of concern with the Wings’ home record this year (2-6). There is a reason the Atlanta Dream were able to win their only other meeting against the Dallas Wings and should do so again. There is a significant difference on the defensive end of late in terms of the number of games played. Atlanta has given up 80.0 points in its last three games played while Dallas has given up 93.8 in its last five games played. The net ratings also show a wider gap than the spread indicates. The Dream are ninth in the WNBA with a net rating of -6.1 while the Wings are last in women’s basketball with a net rating of -10.0 so far. The injuries to the Dallas Wings are far too numerous for them to remain competitive as the absence of Maddy Siegrist, Satou Sabally and Jaelyn Brown will make things much more difficult. With the margin being only one point, we are only picking one winner at this point. Backing the Atlanta Dream to win this match is the best option for this game.

Prediction: Atlanta Dream -1

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When the two teams met on May 21, they combined for 161 points, which would have obviously brought the total under 16 points. Neither team has been very good in terms of three-point percentage overall. Atlanta is eighth in the WNBA with 31.9% three-point shooting, while Dallas is right behind them in ninth with a 30.8% three-point percentage as a team so far. These latter offenses aren’t scoring enough to reach the total here, as the Dream are averaging 76.3 points in their last four games, while the Wings have scored 80.3 points in their previous three games. Overall, going with the under 166.5 points in this matchup is your best bet on the total.

Prediction: Under 166.5

Written by
Patty Reyes, “Patty Reyes”

Sports has been my passion since I played as one of the first girls in the Premier League. When I was in college, I wrote about local sporting events and after leaving school, I worked at colleges and universities as an assistant sports director and sports director. After branching out on my own as a freelance sports writer, I took a job as an online writer for sports betting sites and have been doing so for the past 10 years. Basketball is my passion, including NCAA and NBA as well as European basketball, but I make picks on all sports. Moneyline, point spread or over/under, I can find an angle for everyone in any sporting event on the planet.