Houston Roughnecks at Memphis Showboats odds, picks and predictions

The final game of the UFL regular season was Houston Roughnecks (1-8) on the road to face the Memphis Demonstration Boats (1-8) Sunday. Kickoff will be at 7 p.m. ET at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (FOX). Let’s analyze the BetMGM Sportsbook lines around the Roughnecks vs. Showboats odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks have lost their last 5 games. They lost last week 26-22 at home to the Michigan Panthers, failing to cover the 3.5-point spread as an underdog. The Over (40) conceded.

The Showboats have lost 8 straight games following an 18-12 road win over Houston to open the season. Last week, they lost 36-21 to the DC Defenders, failing to cover the 5.5-point spread as underdogs. The Over (45.5) conceded.

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Roughnecks alongside Showboats

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Go to the USA TODAY Sports Sports Betting Scores & Odds hub for a complete list. Lines last updated at 2:01 a.m. ET.

• Money Line (ML): Roughnecks -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Showboats +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Against the spread (ATS): Roughnkecks -1.5 (-115) | Demonstration boats +1.5 (-105)
• More/Less (Y/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Key Roughnecks Injuries at Showboats

Bullies

• OL Battle of Isaiah (knee) out
• OL Cam Carter (abdomen) probable
• R.B. Kirk Merritt (wrist) probable
• CB Jai Nunn-Liddell (chest, concussion, elbow, wrist)
• R.B. TJ Pledger IV (ankle) out
• CB Kionde Thomas (ankle, foot) questionable

Demonstration boats

• W.R. Jonathan Adams (ankle) probable
• BT Vontae Diggs (hamstring) probable
• S Elder Jarey (hamstring) probable
• CB TJ Green (chest) probable
• W.R. Lee Morris (shoulder) probable
• QB Troy Williams (finger) probable

Roughnecks picks and predictions at Showboats

Prediction

Roughnecks 27, Showboats 20

Money line

The last game of the regular season pits the 2 worst teams against each other. Memphis’ only win against Houston on the road in Week 1. But the Showboats have the worst defense in the league, allowing 30.9 points per game (PPG), more than 6 points more than the second-worst team. They have given up 32 or more in 6 of their last 7 games. This is combined with the second-worst offense, averaging 18.8 PPG.

The Roughnecks have the worst offense at 16.2 PPG. They had a 4-game streak in which they didn’t score more than 12 points in a game, but have since improved. They have scored 28 and 22 in their last 2 games.

With that offensive rebounding and Memphis’ porous defense, expect Houston to win.

Betting on the Roughnecks at -135 isn’t a bad play at all, but since there’s only a 1.5 point spread, you’re getting a little better value on this bet.

PASS.

Against the spread

The only time the Roughnecks covered the spread this season was in their only victory. This is only the second time they’ve been favored (the first time being in Week 1 against Memphis in their season-opening 18-12 loss).

The Showboats have covered the spread once in their last 7 losses. They lost 1 point, but their last 7 losses were by at least 6 points.

ROUGHNECKS BET -1.5 (-115).

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More less

The Over has hit in 6 of the Showboats’ last 7 games. He hit in the Roughnecks’ last 2 games.

The Showboats have allowed 24 or more in their last 7 games and 32 or more in 6 of their last 7 games. Houston has allowed 22 or more points in 4 of its last 5

BET OVER 45.5 (-110).

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