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Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros Odds, Picks and Predictions

THE Houston Astros (26-33) welcome the Minnesota Twins (32-26) at Minute Maid Park on Sunday. First pitch of the 3-game series finale is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the FanDuel Sportsbook lines around the Twins vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season Series: Tied 1-1

The Twins opened the series with a 6-1 win over the Astros, then lost 5-2 on Saturday, closing as an underdog in each case.

Minnesota has won 4 of its last 6 games, beating the Kansas City Royals in 3 of 4 in the previous series. Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 ATS games and 26-32 this season. The Twins are 16-13 straight on the road.

The Astros, who are 15-16 at home, sit in 3rd place in the AL West and have struggled to find much consistency, scoring just 1 or 2 runs in 4 of their last 6 games. They are 2-4 in these games. Houston is also 26-32 against the spread.

Twins at Astros, projected starters

RHP Simeon Woods Richardson against RHP Brown Hunter

Woods Richardson (2-0, 2.70 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, a 2.0 BB/9 and a 6.8 K/9 in 40 IP.

  • Last Start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 4-2 home win over the Kansas City Royals on Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (24 IP, 8 ER), 24 H, 2 HR, 5 BB, 12 K in 5 starts
  • Never faced the Astros

Brown (1-5, 6.39 ERA) is making his 11th start. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 49 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K in a 4-2 road loss to the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday
  • 2024 Home Splits: 1-2, 4.70 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 25 H, 6 HR, 17 BB, 28 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 2 starts

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Twins at Astros odds

Powered by FanDuel Sportsbook; Go to the USA TODAY Sports Sports Betting Scores & Odds hub for a complete list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

  • Money Line (ML): Twins +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Astros -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
  • Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-182) | Astros -1.5 (+150)
  • More/Less (Y/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

Astros Twins Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Astros 3

Money line

BETTING ON THE TWINS (+116).

The Twins have been on a roll lately, winning 4 of their last 6 games as their offense has been more reliable, scoring at least 4 runs in all 4 wins. They will also have an advantage in pitching since Brown has struggled for most of the season.

With Houston under .500 at home and having scored 5 runs or less in 8 straight games and 2 or less in 5 of them, it might not find the bats to win 2 times in a row . Repay the positive money TWINS (+116).

Running Line/Against the Spread

PASS.

There’s just not much value here. The Astros -1.5 (+150) are too risky as a running line favorite, and the Twins +1.5 (-188) are too expensive as a running line underdog. Avoid this game.

More less

BET UNDER 8.5 (-102).

Both teams lean heavily towards the Under. The Twins have gone under in 4 of their last 5 games and are 2-7-1 O/U in their last 10. They are 25-31-2 O/U this season and have gone under in 3 straight starts of Woods Richardson. .

The Astros have gone under in 8 straight games and are 20-35-3 O/U this season. They have gone under in 2 straight starts by Brown and have allowed 4+ points in just 1 of their last 10 games.

Back UNDER 8.5 (-102).

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