Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds, Picks and Predictions

THE Atlanta Braves (22-12) face the New York Mets (18-18) Friday in the first game of a 3-game set at Citi Field at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the BetMGM Sportsbook lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

The Braves were idle on Thursday after winning both home games against the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday and Wednesday. They won Wednesday’s game 5-0 as DH Marcell Ozuna sent 2 into the seats and had 4 RBIs. He leads the majors with 12 home runs and 38 RBIs.

The Mets experienced heavy rain in St. Louis on Wednesday, but won both games against the Cardinals. They came back from a 3-0 first hole on Tuesday with 6 points in the 5th. OF Brandon Nimmo and 1B Pete Alonso each hit a home run and drove in 3 runs.

Braves to projected Mets starters

RHP Charlie Morton against LHP Jose Quintana

Morton (2-0, 3.50 ERA) is making his 7th start. The rookie has a WHIP of 1.14, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 36 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K last Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers
• April 8 vs. Mets: No decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 5 BB, 4 K in an 8-7 loss

Quintana (1-3, 5.20 ERA) is making his 8th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 36 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 2 K last Friday in a 10-8 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays
• April 11 vs. Braves: win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 16-4 victory
• Last 5 starts vs. Braves: 1-4, 5.06 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 20 K in 26 2/3 IP

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Braves alongside the Mets

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Go to the USA TODAY Sports Sports Betting Scores & Odds hub for a complete list. Lines last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.

• Money Line (ML): Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Bet +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+110) | Put +1.5 (-135)
• More/Less (Y/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Braves at Mets Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Mets 3

Money line

The Braves win this game. Quintana isn’t missing enough bats at this point in his career, and he’s allowed 8 ER in 10 2/3 IP in his last 2 starts against Atlanta.

However, it is more feasible to take the RL.

Instead, I will MARCELL OZUNA OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBI. He hit safely in the previous 3 games against the Mets, but he only had 2+ total bases in 1 of them. This is why we avoid its total bases accessory.

Running Line/Against the Spread

The Braves are just 4-6 in the last 10, but 3 of them have been by multiple runs – including the last 2 against Boston. Atlanta is tied for 3rd with 5.1 R/game.

Take BRAVES -1.5 (+110).

More less

The Over is just 1-8-1 in Atlanta’s last 10 games and the Mets are 4-6. When they meet, the Over is 6-4 in the last 10 games. All 3 games in Atlanta exceeded that number earlier this season.

It should be cool, 50 degrees with a 10 mph gust coming from the right center. But it doesn’t matter, it’s okay OVER 8 (-120).

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