Odds, predictions and forecasts for the Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves match

THE Philadelphia Phillies (58-31) and Atlanta Braves (48-39) wrap up their 3-game series on Sunday. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze the lines from FanDuel Sportsbook around Phillies vs Braves Odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season Series: Braves 3-2

The Phillies’ offense managed just one run on seven hits against the Braves in a 5-1 loss Saturday. Ranger Suarez suffered his 2nd loss in his last 3 starts, allowing 5 earned runs in 5 innings. Trea Turner provided the only RBI on a single in the 3rd inning.

The Braves earned a well-deserved victory thanks to a brilliant performance from the right-handed pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach. (6 IP, 7 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K) and the bullpen failed to hit the Phillies over the last 3 innings. Marcel Ozuna and 2B Ozzie Albies Both hit 2-run home runs.

Starters scheduled for Phillies vs. Braves game

RHP Michael Mercado against RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Mercado (1-0, 1.50 ERA) is making his third MLB appearance and second start. The 25-year-old rookie has a 0.67 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 6 IP.

• First MLB start: win, 5 innings, 1 earned run, 2 hits, 2 walks, 4 strikeouts in a 6-4 victory over the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday
• Called up from Triple-A Lehigh Valley on June 23

Lopez (6-2, 1.83 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 83 2/3 IP.

• Last Start: No decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 5-3 home loss to the San Francisco Giants on Tuesday
• 2024 Home Record: 3-0, 1.40 ERA (45 innings, 8 earned runs (7 earned runs), 1.18 WHIP, 9.0 strikeouts over 9 games in 7 starts)
• Only start vs. Phillies: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 10-5 road win on August 4, 2019, as a member of the Chicago White Sox

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Phillies vs Braves Odds

Powered by FanDuel Sportsbook; go to the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:12 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Phillies +152 (bet $100 to win $152) | Braves -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-142) | Braves -1.5 (+118)
• More/Less (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Phillies vs Braves Game Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Phillies 2

Money line.

PASS.

The Braves (-180) will close out this series with a win behind Lopez on Sunday afternoon. I’m not interested in paying close to 2 units though, I’ll stick with my moneyline bet.

Racing Line/Against the Spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (+118).

Needless to say, I was shocked by the result of Saturday’s game. I thought Suarez would take an easy win, but it was Schwellenbach who looked the part of the veteran.

Atlanta put its most consistent pitcher on the mound Sunday, Lopez has allowed 2 or fewer runs in his last 9 starts. In fact, Lopez has allowed more than 2 runs just once all season. He hasn’t lost a start since May 25. The Braves are also 28-17 this season at Truist Park.

Mercado looked solid in his first MLB start, but it was against the Cubs, not the Atlanta Braves.

More less

BET UNDER 8.5 (-112).

I have every confidence in the world that Lopez will keep this Phillies team in check, because that’s what he’s done all season long. He’s allowed a total of 4 earned runs in his last 5 starts (26 1/3 innings).

Mercado allowed just two hits in his first MLB start. He won’t do it again Sunday, but I’m sure he won’t get demolished.

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