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The number of electric vehicles has fallen by 50% since the beginning of the year

The electric vehicle (EV) sector, represented by major players such as Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) and Nio (NYSE: NIO), has seen a significant decline in stock values ​​this year.

This downturn reflects a broader trend of weakening demand for electric vehicles due to a variety of factors impacting consumer interest and market dynamics.

Among them, Rivian is particularly hard hit. The company’s stock has posted a year-to-date loss of 51%, with a poor sales report showing a gross margin well in the red.

The company reported a significant loss of $38,784 per vehicle due to aggressive scaling attempts that did not yet achieve cost effectiveness. On May 11, 2024, Rivian Automotive closed at $9.90, down $2.25 in premarket trading on May 10.

Financial performance and strategic moves

To mitigate these challenges, Rivian released its financial results for the first quarter of 2024, which were mixed but showed some recovery potential. The company posted revenue of $1.204 billion and delivered 13,588 vehicles, down slightly from the previous quarter but better than expected.

Despite the losses, Rivian is making strategic progress, such as introducing a new mid-size platform that will underpin future models such as the R2, R3 and R3X.

Rivian’s CEO, RJ ScaringeHe remains optimistic and explains:

“First quarter results exceeded our guidance and provided a solid foundation for the remainder of the year as we focus on continued demand generation, achieving cost and asset efficiency improvements, advancing R2 development and pursuing profitability .”

In addition, Rivian has secured an incentive package worth up to $827 million from the state of Illinois that will help expand its production capabilities and potentially strengthen its financial position in the coming years.

Technical analysis of RIVN stock

Technical indicators for RIVN stock. Source: Kavout

A detailed look at Rivian’s technical indicators over the past week suggests caution to potential investors.

Despite a temporary uptrend indicated by the moving averages, other signals suggest possible bearish pressure.

Key momentum indicators such as the Stochastic Oscillators suggest weakening momentum with signs of a possible reversal from current levels.

Additionally, volume and volatility analysis shows a lack of buying interest and lower market excitement

Combined with these factors, a sell-off warning could be in order as the stock shows potential for further declines in the near term.

Wall Street analysts are taking on RIVN

Wall Street analysts’ 12-month forecast for RIVN stock. Source: TipRanks

The latest Rivian Automotive stock forecast on TipRanks presents a varied outlook. Based on estimates from 23 analysts over the last three months, the average price target is $16.91. This target represents a 69.27% ​​increase from the current share price of $9.99.

These forecasts range from a low of $8.00 to a high of $36.00 and illustrate a wide range of expectations. This analysis suggests a cautiously optimistic view of the future development of the stock and highlights both opportunities and risks.

It remains to be seen whether Rivian’s strategic partnerships and recent initiatives will be enough to reverse the downward trend in its stock price and stabilize its market position.

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